Roy Luebke summarises Drucker's opportunities that drive innovation and why effective innovations start small:
http://www.innovationtools.com/weblog/innovationblog-detail.asp?ArticleID=1279
Drucker felt that the best innovations start small and don't try to be too clever. Effective innovations try to do one specific thing, they start small to allow for adjustments and improvements, and they focus on the present. "The innovation may have long term impact, but if you can't get it adopted now there won't be any future."
Trendwatching.com provides an insight into trend watching:
http://cefeindo.wordpress.com/2008/03/22/top-5-trend-watching-tips-part-1-know-why-you-are-tracking-trends/1. Know why you're tracking trends. We're not gazing into a crystal ball to forecast the future. We're detecting, observing and understanding what's already happening now. Here we're identifying patterns of change to find opportunities.
2. Have a point of view. Trends need context which requires a broad perspective. Our theories about these patterns need to be accompanied with curiousity and open mindedness. And we might not like every trend we spot, but we can't dismiss them simply because they don't fit with our own personal world view.
3. Weave your web of resources. Be imaginative in your trawl of where to look for trends, everything from magazines and catalogues, trade shows and conferences, social networking, competitors, friends, family and colleagues to experts and trend gurus.
4. Fine tune your trend framework. Your trend framework isn't a long list of the trends you've observed. See trends as operating at three levels: macro, consumer and industry, and think about the inter-relationships.
5. Embed and apply. Start a trend group within your organisation and build support from key stakeholders to translate emerging trends into insights that will drive innovation about:
Richard Watson suggests trendspotting is quite simple: "just walk around with yourt eyes and ears wide open".
http://www.fastcompany.com/resources/innovation/watson/071204.html
"Most organisations don't spend much time talking to customers. Instread they spend a large amount of money talking to people through other people, often asking the qrong questions or talking to people with nothing to say."
To spot the next big thing:
Drew Boyd predicts not what specific innovations we can expect in the next 10 years, but the characteristics of future successful inventions:
Mobility. Future products will incorporate an element of mobility and integration within a mobile life style.
Adaptiveness. Future products will adapt and morph depending on the situation if its use. This "smart" product will change its characteristics in ways to keep providing benefits to the user.
Simplicity. This is a product of "more with less".
Specificity. Innovative products in future will be smart in identifying problems and providing solutions.
Ideality. This is innovation as providing solutions to problems only when they are needed.